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← Logic & PuzzlesA Monte Carlo simulation estimates financial risk; if it has a small probability of a very large loss, which effect dominates the decision-making, considering the algorithm's expected value?
A)Ignoring unlikely tail events
B)Prioritizing computational efficiency only
C)Focusing solely on mean outcomes
D)Accounting for extreme loss events✓
💡 Explanation
The decision is dominated by accounting for extreme loss events because the expected value explicitly incorporates the probabilities and magnitudes of all possible outcomes, including rare but impactful 'tail events'. Therefore, the expected value provides a more complete risk assessment rather than just considering the mean or ignoring unlikely events.
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